US Monetary Policy Uncertainty And Stock Price In Emerging Economies: An Empirical Analysis From The Asean Region

Abstract

This paper examines whether the impact of uncertain US monetary policy on stock prices of emerging economies in the ASEAN region exists. Using monthly data for the period from early 2000 to late 2022 together with the Vector autoregression (VAR) research regression model. The results show that under the influence of uncertain monetary policy on periods of fluctuations in economic, political, social, or other event factors, the degree of influence on prices of stocks will be stronger but only for a short period and then return to a recovery period. In addition, the research model also shows that there exists the impact of uncertain monetary policy of the US on the domestic market, but the influence level is lower than that of ASEAN countries.